--- title: "Robust gradient-based MCMC with the Barker proposal" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette bibliography: references.bib link-citations: true vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Robust gradient-based MCMC with the Barker proposal} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>" ) ``` The `rmcmc` package provides a general-purpose implementation of the Barker proposal [@barker1965monte], a gradient-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm inspired by the Barker accept-reject rule, proposed by @livingstone2022barker. This vignette demonstrates how to use the package to sample Markov chains from a target distribution of interest, and illustrates the robustness to tuning that is a key advantage of the Barker proposal compared to alternatives such as the Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA). ```{r setup} library(rmcmc) ``` ## Example target distribution ```{r} dimension <- 10 scales <- c(0.01, rep(1, dimension - 1)) ``` As a simple example of a target distribution, we consider a `r dimension`-dimensional Gaussian target with heterogeneous scales such that the standard deviation of the first coordinate is 0.01 and that of other coordinates is 1. The `rmcmc` package expects the target distribution to be specified by a function evaluating the logarithm of the (potentially unnormalized) probability density at a point, and for gradient-based methods such as the Barker proposal, additionally requires specification of a function evaluating the gradient of this log density function. The two functions should be wrapped in to a list under the names `log_density` and `gradient_log_density` respectively. ```{r} target_distribution <- list( log_density = function(x) -sum((x / scales)^2) / 2, gradient_log_density = function(x) -x / scales^2 ) ``` ## Creating proposal distribution `rmcmc` provides implementations of several different proposal distributions which can be used within a Metropolis--Hastings based MCMC method: - `barker_proposal()`: The robust gradient-based Barker proposal proposed by @livingstone2022barker. - `langevin_proposal()`: A gradient-based proposal based on a discretization of Langevin dynamics. - `hamiltonian_proposal()`: A gradient-based proposal based on a discretization of Hamiltonian dynamics, simulated for a fixed number of integrator steps. With a single integrator step equivalent to `langevin_proposal`. - `random_walk_proposal()`: A Gaussian random-walk proposal. Each function takes optional arguments which can be used to customize the behaviour of the proposal such as the scalar `scale` of the proposal, a vector or matrix defining the proposal `shape` and routines to sample the auxiliary variables used in the proposal. Here we create an instance of the Barker proposal, using the default values of all arguments. Rather than specifying fixed `scale` and `shape` tuning parameters, in the next section we illustrate how to set up adaptation of these parameters during a warm-up stage to the chains. ```{r} proposal <- barker_proposal() ``` ## Setting up adaptation of tuning parameters `rmcmc` has support for adaptively tuning parameters of the proposal distribution. This is mediated by 'adapter' objects which define method for update the parameters of a proposal based on the chain state and statistics recorded during a chain iteration. Below we instantiate a list of adapters to (i) adapt the scalar scale of the proposal distribution to coerce the average acceptance probability of the chain transitions to a target value, and (ii) adapt the shape of the proposal distribution with per-coordinate scaling factors based on estimates on the coordinate-wise variances under the target distribution. ```{r} adapters <- list( scale_adapter( algorithm = "stochastic_approximation", initial_scale = dimension^(-1 / 6), target_accept_prob = 0.574, kappa = 0.6 ), shape_adapter(type = "variance", kappa = 0.6) ) ``` Here we set the initial scale to $\mathcal{O}(\text{dimension}^{-\frac{1}{6}})$ and the target acceptance probability to 0.574 following the guidelines in @vogrinc2023optimal. This is equivalent to the default behaviour when not specifying the `initial_scale` and `target_accept_prob` arguments, in which case proposal and dimension dependent values following the guidelines in @vogrinc2023optimal will be used. Both adapters have an optional `kappa` argument which can be used to set the decay rate exponent for the adaptation learning rate. We set this to 0.6, following the recommendation in @livingstone2022barker, in both cases. The adapter updates will be applied only during an initial set of 'warm-up' chain iterations, with the proposal parameters remaining fixed to their final adapted values during a subsequent set of main chain iterations. ## Sampling a chain To sample a chain we first need to specify the initial chain state. The `rmcmc` package encapsulates the chain state in a list which tracks the current position of the chain, but also additional quantities such as the auxiliary variables used to generate the proposed perturbation to the state, and cached values of the log density and its gradient once computed once at the current position to avoid re-computation. The [chain_state()] function allows creation of a list of the required format, with the first (and only required) argument specifying the position. Alternatively we can directly pass a vector specifying just the position component of the state to the `initial_state` argument of [sample_chain()]. Here we generate an initial state with position coordinates sampled from a independent normal distributions with standard deviation 10, following the example in @livingstone2022barker. For reproducibility we also fix the random seed. ```{r} set.seed(791285301L) initial_state <- chain_state(10 * rnorm(dimension)) ``` We now have everything needed to sample a Markov chain. To do this we use the `sample_chain` function from `rmcmc`. This requires us to specify the target distribution, proposal distribution, initial chain state, number of adaptive warm-up iterations and non-adaptive main chain iterations and list of adapters to use. ```{r} n_warm_up_iteration <- 10000 n_main_iteration <- 10000 ``` Here we sample a chain with $`r n_warm_up_iteration`$ warm-up and $`r n_main_iteration`$ main chain iterations. We set `trace_warm_up` to `TRUE` to record statistics during the adaptive warm-up chain iterations. ```{r} barker_results <- sample_chain( target_distribution = target_distribution, proposal = proposal, initial_state = initial_state, n_warm_up_iteration = n_warm_up_iteration, n_main_iteration = n_main_iteration, adapters = adapters, trace_warm_up = TRUE ) ``` If the `progress` package is installed a progress bar will show the chain progress during sampling. The return value of `sample_chains` is a list containing fields for accessing the final chain state (which can be used to start sampling a new chain), any variables traced during the main chain iterations and any additional statistics recorded during the main chain iterations. If the `trace_warm_up` argument to `sample_chains` is set to `TRUE` as above, then the list returned by `sample_chains` will also contain entries `warm_up_traces` and `warm_up_statistics` corresponding to respectively the variable traces and additional statistics recorded during the warm-up iterations. One of the additional statistics recorded is the acceptance probability for each chain iteration under the name `accept_prob`. We can therefore compute the mean acceptance probability of the main chain iterations as follows: ```{r} mean_accept_prob <- mean(barker_results$statistics[, "accept_prob"]) cat(sprintf("Average acceptance probability is %.2f", mean_accept_prob)) ``` This is close to the target acceptance rate of 0.574 indicating the scale adaptation worked as expected. We can also inspect the shape parameter of the proposal to check the variance based shape adaptation succeeded. The below snippet extracts the (first few dimensions of the) adapted shape from the `proposal` object and compares to the known true scales (per-coordinate standard deviations) of the target distribution. ```{r} clipped_dimension <- min(5, dimension) final_shape <- proposal$parameters()$shape cat( sprintf("Adapter scale est.: %s", toString(final_shape[1:clipped_dimension])), sprintf("True target scales: %s", toString(scales[1:clipped_dimension])), sep = "\n" ) ``` Again adaptation appears to have been successful with the adapted shape close to the true target scales. ## Summarizing results using `posterior` package The output from `sample_chains` can also be easily used with external packages for analyzing MCMC outputs. For example the [`posterior` package](https://mc-stan.org/posterior/index.html) provides implementations of various inference diagnostic and functions for manipulating, subsetting and summarizing MCMC outputs. ```{r} library(posterior) ``` The `traces` entry in the returned (list) output from `sample_chain` is a matrix with row corresponding to the chain iterations and (named) columns the traced variables. This matrix can be directly coerced to the `draws` data format the `posterior` package internally uses to represent chain outputs, and so can be passed directly to the [`summarize_draws` function](https://mc-stan.org/posterior/reference/draws_summary.html) to output a `tibble` data frame containing a set of summary statistics and diagnostic measures for each variable. ```{r} summarize_draws(barker_results$traces) ``` We can also first explicit convert the `traces` matrix to a `posterior` draws object using the `as_draws_matrix` function. This can be passed to the `summary` generic function to get an equivalent output ```{r} draws <- as_draws_matrix(barker_results$traces) summary(draws) ``` The draws object can also be manipulated and subsetted with various functions provided by `posterior`. For example the [`extract_variable` function](https://mc-stan.org/posterior/reference/extract_variable.html) can be used to extract the draws for a specific named variable. The output from this function can then be passed to the various diagnostic functions, for example to compute the effective sample size of the mean of the `target_log_density` variable we could do the following ```{r} cat( sprintf( "Effective sample size of mean(target_log_density) is %.0f", ess_mean(extract_variable(draws, "target_log_density")) ) ) ``` ## Sampling using a Langevin proposal To sample a chain using a Langevin proposal, we can simply use `langevin_proposal` in place of `baker_proposal`. Here we create a new set of adapters using the default `target_accept_prob` argument to `scale_adapter` which will set the target acceptance rate to the Langevin proposal optimal value of 0.574 following the results in @roberts2001optimal. ```{r} mala_results <- sample_chain( target_distribution = target_distribution, proposal = langevin_proposal(), initial_state = initial_state, n_warm_up_iteration = n_warm_up_iteration, n_main_iteration = n_main_iteration, adapters = list( scale_adapter(algorithm = "stochastic_approximation", kappa = 0.6), shape_adapter(type = "variance", kappa = 0.6) ), trace_warm_up = TRUE ) ``` We can again check the average acceptance rate of the main chain iterations is close to the specified target value: ```{r} cat( sprintf( "Average acceptance probability is %.2f", mean(mala_results$statistics[, "accept_prob"]) ) ) ``` and use the `ess_mean` function from the `posterior` package to compute the effective sample size of the mean of the `target_log_density` variable ```{r} cat( sprintf( "Effective sample size of mean(target_log_density) is %.0f", ess_mean( extract_variable( as_draws_matrix(mala_results$traces), "target_log_density" ) ) ) ) ``` ## Comparing adaptation using Barker and Langevin proposal We can plot how the proposal shape and scale parameters varied during the adaptive warm-up iterations, by accessing the statistics recorded in the `warm_up_statistics` entry in the list returned by `sample_chain`. ```{r} visualize_scale_adaptation <- function(warm_up_statistics, label) { n_warm_up_iteration <- nrow(warm_up_statistics) old_par <- par(mfrow = c(1, 2)) on.exit(par(old_par)) plot( exp(warm_up_statistics[, "log_scale"]), type = "l", xlab = expression(paste("Chain iteration ", t)), ylab = expression(paste("Scale ", sigma[t])) ) plot( cumsum(warm_up_statistics[, "accept_prob"]) / 1:n_warm_up_iteration, type = "l", xlab = expression(paste("Chain iteration ", t)), ylab = expression(paste("Average acceptance rate ", alpha[t])), ylim = c(0, 1) ) mtext( sprintf("Scale adaptation for %s", label), side = 3, line = -2, outer = TRUE ) } ``` First considering the scalar scale parameter $\sigma_t$, which is controlled to achieve a target average acceptance rate, we see that for Barker proposal the adaptation successfully coerces the average acceptance rate to be close to the 0.574 target value and that the scale parameter adaptation has largely stabilized within the first 1000 iterations. ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_scale_adaptation(barker_results$warm_up_statistics, "Barker proposal") ``` For the Langevin proposal on the other hand, while the acceptance rate does eventually converge to its target value of 0.574, the convergence is slower and there is more evidence of unstable oscillatory behaviour in the adapted scale. ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_scale_adaptation(mala_results$warm_up_statistics, "Langevin proposal") ``` Now we consider the adaptation of the diagonal shape matrix $\Sigma_t$, based on estimates of the per-coordinate variances. ```{r} visualize_shape_adaptation <- function(warm_up_statistics, dimensions, label) { matplot( sqrt(warm_up_statistics[, paste0("variance_estimate", dimensions)]), type = "l", xlab = expression(paste("Chain iteration ", t)), ylab = expression(paste("Shape ", diag(Sigma[t]^(1 / 2)))), log = "y" ) legend( "right", paste0("coordinate ", dimensions), lty = dimensions, col = dimensions, bty = "n" ) mtext( sprintf("Shape adaptation for %s", label), side = 3, line = -2, outer = TRUE ) } ``` We see that the for the Barker proposal the adaptation quickly converges towards the known heterogeneous scales along the different coordinates. ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_shape_adaptation( barker_results$warm_up_statistics, 1:clipped_dimension, "Barker proposal" ) ``` For the Langevin proposal, the shape adaptation is again slower. ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_shape_adaptation( mala_results$warm_up_statistics, 1:clipped_dimension, "Langevin proposal" ) ``` We can also visualize the chain position components during the warm-up iterations using the `warm_up_traces` entry. ```{r} visualize_traces <- function(traces, dimensions, label) { matplot( traces[, paste0("position", dimensions)], type = "l", xlab = expression(paste("Chain iteration ", t)), ylab = expression(paste("Position ", X[t])), ) legend( "topright", paste0("coordinate ", dimensions), lty = dimensions, col = dimensions, bty = "n" ) mtext(sprintf("Traces for %s", label), side = 3, line = -2, outer = TRUE) } ``` For the Barker proposal we can see the chain quickly appears to converge to a stationary regime ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_traces( barker_results$warm_up_traces, 1:clipped_dimension, "Barker proposal" ) ``` The Langevin proposal does also appear to converge to a stationary regime but again convergence is slower ```{r fig.width=7, fig.height=4} visualize_traces( mala_results$warm_up_traces, 1:clipped_dimension, "Langevin proposal" ) ``` Overall we see that while the Langevin proposal is able to achieve a higher sampling efficiency when tuned with appropriate parameters, its performance is more sensitive to the tuning parameter values resulting in less stable and robust adaptive tuning. ## References