--- title: "Carbon and environmental valuation" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Carbon and environmental valuation} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set(collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>") ``` ```{r setup} library(greenbook) ``` ## Carbon values for appraisal DESNZ publishes a single consolidated carbon value series with low / central / high scenarios. The November 2023 publication superseded the historical traded / non-traded split. `gb_carbon_value()` looks the values up directly: ```{r} gb_carbon_value(2024) gb_carbon_value(2024, scenario = "high") gb_carbon_value(2030) ``` The values are published in 2022 prices. Rebase to a different year via `base_year`: ```{r} gb_carbon_value(2030, base_year = 2024) ``` ## Net present value of an emissions path A greenhouse-gas-emitting project has its environmental externality monetised at the published carbon value, then discounted under the standard STPR. ```{r} # 100 tCO2e per year for 2024 to 2030, treated as a cost emissions <- rep(100, 7) years <- 2024:2030 gb_carbon_npv(emissions, years, base_year = 2024) ``` For an abatement project (avoided emissions), use `sign = "benefit"`: ```{r} gb_carbon_npv(emissions, years, base_year = 2024, sign = "benefit") ``` ## Wellbeing valuation Life-satisfaction changes can be monetised via WELLBYs (HMT Wellbeing Guidance for Appraisal, July 2021). Default unit value: GBP 13,000 per WELLBY in 2019 prices. ```{r} # 1-point lift in life satisfaction, 100 people, 5 years gb_wellby(1, persons = 100, years = 5) # In 2024 prices gb_wellby(1, persons = 100, years = 5, base_year = 2024) # Sensitivity range gb_wellby(1, persons = 100, years = 5, scenario = "low") gb_wellby(1, persons = 100, years = 5, scenario = "high") ``` ## Risk to life and health Value of Preventing a Fatality (VPF) and Quality-Adjusted Life Year (QALY) per DfT TAG and DHSC supplementary guidance. ```{r} gb_vpf() # 2024 published value: GBP 2.153m gb_vpf(2018) # 2018 baseline gb_qaly(1) # DHSC: GBP 70k per QALY gb_qaly(1, scenario = "nice_upper") # NICE upper threshold: GBP 30k ``` ## Provenance ```{r} gb_data_versions() ``` ## Provenance The bundled DESNZ carbon path is the November 2023 publication (Data Tables 1-19, Table 3), 2020 to 2050. A future refresh will extend through to 2100. The VPF series anchors on the DfT TAG data book v2.03 (December 2025) Table A4.1.1 WTP element of GBP 2,474,341 in 2023 prices, uplifted at 2 percent annual real GDP per head growth per TAG methodology.